Brandt’s Momentum Indicator Highlights Potential Bitcoin Reversal

bitcoin reversal

Bitcoin’s market valuation has already made some shocking strikes in 2019, outperforming each the NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 (on a YTD foundation) by a large margin.  Nevertheless, an incapacity to carry assist at key technical areas would recommend this 12 months’s bull development hasn’t but been validated.

Bitcoin’s Line within the Sand

Because the starting of the 12 months, BTC/USD has generated positive factors of 172%, outpacing the returns of each the NASDAQ Composite (at +16.6%) and the S&P 500 (at +13.2%) over the identical interval.  

Nevertheless, technical indicators recommend crypto buyers would possibly contemplate taking positive factors on parts of their positions if bitcoin development reversals start to unfold.  A recent tweet from Peter Brandt highlighted the bullish nature of this 12 months’s bitcoin motion, citing momentum readings which positioned the rally throughout the context of worth strikes seen from 2015-2017:

Brandt’s development mannequin locations a digital “line within the sand” just under psychological ranges at $9,000, which is an space that has labored beforehand as a support-turned-resistance degree propelling BTC prices into five-digit territory: 


Extra importantly, the newest declines have despatched costs via the 50-day exponential transferring common (EMA), which is a metric that tends to be watched extra intently by the market’s daytraders.  As we are able to see, that is the third time BTC/USD has fallen via the 50-day EMA since March of this 12 months. The decrease highs posted in the course of the June 28th – August sixth rally recommend a near-term prime might have fashioned in BTC/USD.  

In the end, this short-term bearish momentum might drive a take a look at of Brandt’s crucial worth ranges.  The quickly ascending 200-day EMA has the potential to work as an moreover supportive issue for BTC lengthy positions.  Nevertheless, markets would seemingly have to see a interval of consolidation to ensure that worth/time metrics to align in ways in which hold valuations elevated above the $9,000 degree.

Potental for Volatility

Given bitcoin’s current transfer to shut at its highest weekly candle in over a year, any draw back breaks might have the potential to take many crypto merchants unexpectedly.  Turbulence in each bond markets and fiat currencies has created summer time volatility ranges which can be far exterior of the historic averages.

Choices merchants are presently betting that much more volatility is likely to flood the market, so it might not be a major shock to see comparable expectations begin to creep into the value motion of bitcoin and different cryptos within the near-term.

The place do you anticipate BTC/USD valuations to journey subsequent?  Add your ideas within the feedback beneath!

Photos through Shutterstock, Twitter @PeterLBrandt, BTC/USD charts by Tradingview

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